NOTE: Please read the entire post if you are going to comment. Several comments tell me that the person only read the title and made assumptions.
This was a difficult piece to write and I would imagine it is not easy to read, either. The truth seldom is. But we, as Conservatives, tend to surround ourselves with other Conservative activists and begin to believe that the Conservative nature of our friends is representative of the country as a whole. Sadly, it is not. Our political point of view, like that of the Progressives, occupies a small portion of the political spectrum. But in order for us to win, we need to know the truth about our strengths and weaknesses.
It has been a really fun Republican Primary season this year on the Presidential level. My Conservative friends who are backing Ted Cruz have been vicious and annoying in their attacks on me and my Conservative values because I am a Trump supporter.
“Trump’s NOT Conservative,” they tell me over and over again. He is a Democrat!
Well, no. He’s not a Democrat. He is a Republican.
And my fellow Conservatives go apoplectic and start with the accusatory, “I thought you were a Conservative, but I guess you aren’t,” shaming.
But the truth is, anyone running as a far right Conservative like Ted Cruz is doing simply cannot win the White House. And any Conservative that takes a critical look and takes off the Conservative Blinders long enough to take an honest look at where the country is politically these days and do an honest assessment of the chances of a Conservative winning the White House will come to the same conclusion. And if you think otherwise, you are either not being honest with yourself or you are delusional. America is not a Center-Right Country. We are a Center-Left Nation.
Progressives have done a number on public perception over the last decade or so. Remember when “Liberal” was a dirty word no Democrat wanted to be labeled with? And when “Conservative” was actually a compliment? Look around you. We have come 180 degrees from those days. We have a Socialist running for President that is doing amazingly well. Bernie Sanders won’t win the Democratic nomination, but damn! Look at the crowds! In America!
The stigma once attached to Liberals is now attached to Conservatives. And if you are a Conservative and don’t see that, then you need to get out more. And if you don’t wake up and admit the truth, you better get used to more and more Nannie-ism.
Now Progressives have managed to win the PR game against Conservatives, but we must give a lot of credit to the GOP Leadership – the dreaded GOPe. The RINO’s.
These establishment folks are no fans of Conservatives either, but they usually pretend to be one when it benefits them. But while they often assume the mantle of Conservationism in their home districts, the truth is they are big government Progressives in DC. With the same desires and goals as the Progressives who berate them. And don’t look now, our Colleges and Universities are turning out Progressive Liberals who are only to happy to be known as such and who believe Conservatives and Capitalism are every bit as dangerous and evil as today’s Conservatives knew Socialism, Communism and Keynesian economics are.
Today’s young people believe the Free Market is unfair and favors the rich while Socialism is fair to everyone. Gone from the classroom indoctrination are the mention of the extreme poverty, empty shelves and long lines for toilet paper.
So when I attend gatherings of Conservatives, I have to shake my head and bite my tongue to avoid confrontations with my fellow Conservatives who refuse to admit the truth. They seem unable to face the reality that most of the country has been brainwashed into believing things we all know are completely false. And they are misguided into thinking that if only the nation hears the Conservative point of viewthat they will flock to the right in droves and elect a far right Conservative to the White House.
They don’t realize that more than half of the voting population in the US is as likely to embrace Conservatism today as we are to vote for a Socialist.
I saw David Plouffe, Obama’s Advisor and Campaign Manager and now a Hillary supporter, on the news last night talking about Clinton facing either Trump or Cruz. He said that with Cruz, they already have the standard Democrat playbook they have used for years to go by. But Trump will, “say anything about anyone at any time,” and is pretty much a wild card.
I have always rejected the philosophy that we need to nominate the “most Conservative Republican that can win”. That was a phrase coined by the GOPe to justify establishment candidates that they insist are “moderates” like John McCain and Mitt Romney. But the truth is, these candidates are not moderates, they are big government establishment guys that are more concerned with the politics of power than with winning. In fact, they would rather lose an election and deal with being the minority “out of power” party than see a true Conservative win, fearing the Conservative will put an end to their charade. And they are perfectly willing to vote for a Democrat, or at least refuse to vote for the Conservative.
In the 2013 Gubernatorial race in Virginia, Conservative Ken Cuccinelli lost to Liberal Terry McAuliffe by about 60,000 votes. But interestingly, the Republican candidate for Attorney General Mark Obenshain, who was considered the only establishment candidate on the Republican ticket managed to get about 90,000 votes more than Cuccinelli did for governor. Had the people who voted for Obenshain also voted for Cuccinelli, convicts would not be voting in November. Some of the 90,000 fewer votes can be accounted for by the GOPe voters who went to the polls and voted for AG, but left the box for Governor blank. But not all 90,000. Virginia has become pretty much a blue to purple state. Republicans hold a majority in the State House by a good margin and have a tiny margin in the State Senate, but all of the statewide offices and both US Senate seats are Democrats.
Virginia is pretty much a microcosm of the rest of the country, politically speaking. And in spite of GOP success in the State House and Senate, the Statewide and Federal offices are owned by the Democrats, thanks in large part to deep blue Northern Virginia and a couple of other urban areas.
Clearly, the answer is not an establishment candidate for statewide or Federal offices here in Virginia. They would have no more success than McCain in 2008 or Romney in 2012. Both lost in Virginia. And given the results in 2013 combined with 2008 and 2012, neither Conservative nor establishment will win Virginia in 2016. And the nationwide results of 2008 and 2012 are very likely to repeat with either a Conservative candidate like Ted Cruz or an alternate choice “parachuted” into the GOP Convention – who would be an establishment choice. And Cruz has the “tarnish” of both Conservative and establishment hanging around his neck.
But trust me on this. The United States will not elect an establishment Republican and they will not elect a Conservative. No matter how much Ted Cruz excites Conservatives, we are simply too small a portion of the electorate to win nationwide or even statewide in Virginia. The Democrats already have their tried and true plan to defeat Cruz. It will be a walk in the park. Cruz will be told he cannot attack Hillary for fear of alienating women. And he will get smashed by Hillary pandering to votes that will never come.
Trump, on the other hand, will not shy away from attacking Clinton. He has not yet pulled the email issues or Benghazi out of his arsenal. Not to mention the other scandals Hillary has been involved in. We got a small preview when she pulled out Bill Clinton. Trump neutered him in seconds. No one else in the GOP stable could or would have done that.
The results of yesterday’s primary saw Donald Trump win all 5 states by large margins while Cruz came in last in all but one. Trump also won every district in every state. And this came on the heals of a big win in his home state of New York last week.
At this point, Ted Cruz is mathematically eliminated from getting to the 1,237 delegates. And he cannot win in November. Nor can Kasich who is no different from McCain or Romney. Cruz made a bad mistake aligning with Kasich to take out Trump. And his glee at “stealing” delegates and the fact that the establishment is behind the “thefts” may be one reason Trump far outperformed the polls yesterday.
- In Pennsylvania the Polls had Trump at 48%. He won 58%.
- In Connecticut the polls has Trump at 54%. He won 59%.
- Rhode Island the polls had Trump at 52%. He won 65%.
- Maryland the polls had Trump at 48%. He won 57%.
- Deleware the polls had Trump at 55%. He won 63%.
Trump is an enigma to the Democrats and to a lot of Republicans. He has done something no Republican has done in decades – he has tapped into the anger that many people have at the failures of our leadership no matter the party. Some call it Nationalism like Nationalism is a bad thing. This excitement and support will only grow as Trump goes on the offensive against Hillary. There are a lot of people who will move behind Trump as he does to Hillary what he has done to the entire GOP Primary field. Which now includes Cruz. (Kasich never had a chance.)
Cruz needs to drop out. He can’t win as a Conservative. Not now. Not ever.
Remember. #NeverTrump = #AlwaysHillary.